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Michael I Brown's avatar

The Committee's draft decision is still leaning on a framing that rangeland science abandoned decades ago. Moringe ole Parkipuny was making this exact case to the UN back in 1989 — that the Maasai were being blamed for "degrading" land they'd managed sustainably for generations while conservation revenue bypassed them entirely. Since Sandford (1983) and Ellis & Swift (1988), the non-equilibrium ecology literature has shown that in semi-arid rangelands like Ngorongoro, rainfall variability — not grazing pressure — drives vegetation dynamics, and drought keeps herds well below any theoretical "carrying capacity." Overgrazing-driven degradation is the exception, localized around wells and boreholes, not the rule. "Consultation" without FPIC isn't a compromise — it's the same relocation logic with better PR. Delist or hold the line on FPIC; there's no third option that respects both the science and the people who've been managing this landscape the longest.

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