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I'm pretty sure the Arctic is collapsed, too. The fact that you have three likes, two reposts and just my comment so far says so much. I appreciate your work.

https://geoffreydeihl.substack.com/p/permafrost-maybe-not

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Thanks Geoffrey! I have to point out that this post now has 19 likes and six restacks. I think that's a new personal best.

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I thought your article was GREAT. Your focus was slightly different from mine, but this is IMPORTANT.

"The terrestrial carbon sinks seem to be more sensitive to environmental conditions than previously expected. A HOT YEAR that severely impacts about 5% of the land surface can shut down about 30% of the sink." (https://richardcrim.substack.com/p/the-crisis-report-83)

Things have NOT cooled down in 2024.

We just had a full year where EVERY DAY was warmer than the +1.5°C it was in June 2023.

June 2024: Earth’s 13th-consecutive warmest month on record.

https://yaleclimateconnections.org/2024/07/june-2024-earths-13th-consecutive-warmest-month-on-record/

June 2024 was Earth’s warmest June since global record-keeping began in 1850 and was the planet’s 13th consecutive warmest month on record, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, or NCEI, reported July 12.

As opposed to being focused in one region or another, the record heat was unusually widespread, with 14.5% of the world’s surface experiencing record heat — beating the previous June record set in 2023 by 7.4%.

So far this has been extremely under reported.

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Thanks Richard! Your post provides a lot more context - thanks for the link.

The fact that the world's forests are heading towards becoming a source of CO₂ as the climate crisis gets worse, should mean a complete rethink of the idea of trading the carbon stored in forests against continued emissions from burning fossil fuels. But somehow, I doubt that that's going to happen.

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Aug 8Liked by Chris Lang

Excellent article. Thanks Geoffrey for reposting

My unacademic mindset at present feels a little like:

Hold on to the sides everyone!... oh wait, they fell off too.

Ahhhhhhhhhhh

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The largest banks have already invested over $7 Trillion in new fossil fuel projects. Cold hard facts from scientists are ignored while oil companies destroy “protected” lands with impunity.

Wall Street’s gift to our progeny.

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Don't any of the models factor in feedbacks due to deterioration of carbon sinks?? Otherwise, that sounds like a pretty glaring and surprising omission!

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